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Hurricane
Alley strives to provide the most unique collection of information concerning
the tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin anywhere. As such the following
special notes should be taken ....
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The "cone of uncertainty" is not
the same as that provided by the National Hurricane Center. We calculate the
area of the cone based upon the error rates of the official NHC advisories at
the various forecast hours. Therefore, our cone dimensions fluctuate with the
error rate of the current storm's history, not the pre-set based upon last
season's forecasts.
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The expected wind effects on the
individual locations is based upon our own developed algorithm of wind field
size, rate and direction of movement, and friction-induced reduction over
land.
Current Activity -
Season to Date Invest Tracks
FAQ--
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The North Atlantic Ocean tropical cyclone basin is
considered to be that area north of 0o between 0o
west and the North American and Central American east coasts.
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The "season"
extends from June through November, although there have been tropical
cyclones recorded in every month.
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The area of the Atlantic basin observing the
maximum number of hurricanes is near 29.0N, 75.5W, approximately 325
miles east of the central Florida east coast.
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The median start date for the "season" is June 30,
the median end date is October 30.
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Since 1871
there have been 411 "tropical cyclone coastline crossings" between Maine and Texas.
This number includes multiple landfalls for single storms.
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Since 1871
there have been 193 category 1 through 5 "hurricane coastline crossings" from Maine to Texas.
This number includes multiple landfalls for single storms.
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Since 1871
there have been 52 category 3 through 5 "major hurricane coastline
crossings" from Maine to Texas. This number includes multiple landfalls
for single storms.
Current Tropical Information
This includes all data related to the
current conditions in the
tropical North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico.
This includes surface observations, radar, buoy data, ship reports,
satellite, and National Hurricane Center forecasts and plans.
Climatology
The frequency tables include the
years 1851 - 2008. They are shown by year / by month.
Hurricane Forecast Models Explanations
The various computer models used to
produce the forecast track of hurricanes and tropical storms are explained.
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