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The above graphic is a "mid-season" report card on
the Hurricane Alley.net initial 2011 Seasonal Forecast for landfall. Click
on the graphic to enlarge and you will see that so far this season our forecast
for landfalls has been relatively accurate once again. We did not foresee the
Louisiana coast , the Haitian southwest coast , or the east coast of Puerto Rico
as having anything more than a normal threat for landfall. On the other
hand , we have accurately forecast the Mexican Gulf coast , the eastern Yucatan
Peninsula , the southern Texas coast , the northern Leewards , the Bahamas ,
North Carolina , and the Northeast as having moderate to high risk of landfall.
Not too bad for a forecast issued the 1st of June. We believe that the
latter half of the season will see formation in the northwest Caribbean , and as
a result , still expect that the southern 3rd of the Florida peninsula , and
western Cuba will be impacted.
Current Year to Date Invests tracks
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| INVEST |
Dates |
Result |
| 90-01 |
03/0918 - 03/10-18 |
|
| 91-01 |
04/19-18 - 04/22-18 |
|
| 92-01 |
05/23-12 - 05/24-18 |
|
| 93-01 |
05/31-00 - 06/03-18 |
|
| 94-01 |
06/02-18 - 06/11-06 |
|
| 95-01 |
06/26-18 - 06/28-18 |
Arlene |
| 96-01 |
07/06-12 - 07/08-06 |
|
| 97-01 |
07/12-12 - 07/13-12 |
|
| 98-01 |
07/15-18 - 07/17-18 |
Bret |
| 99-01 |
07/18-18 - 07/20-12 |
Cindy |
| 90-02 |
07/21-06 - 07/27-18 |
Don |
| 91-02 |
07/28-00 - 08/02-00 |
Emily |
Click on image thumbnail to see full-sized graphic
Current Situation .... |
